Helen Toner
Person on 2 sites
Director of strategy at Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology; an OpenAI board member until November 2023, and writes Rising Tide.
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1 channel on ppll (opens ppll.app)
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Newsletter: Rising Tide (opens helentoner.substack.com)
“The term “AGI” is almost useless at this point”
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Newsletter: Rising Tide (opens helentoner.substack.com)
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12 beliefs on korrents (opens korrents.com)
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The term AGI has stopped being useful: today's best systems already meet some people's definitions of it while falling far short of others'. (opens korrents.com)
“Today’s best AI systems are good enough that they’re now inside the fuzzy conceptual cloud of “AGI-ish”: that is, they’ve surpassed some people’s definitions of AGI, while falling well short of others’.”
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AI capabilities are jagged rather than smooth, so the different definitions of human-level AI will be met years apart rather than together. (opens korrents.com)
“This makes it likely that there could be big gaps between when different definitions of AGI are fulfilled.”
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Any given AI capability becomes cheap and widely available within a couple of years of first being reached, so nobody can be kept away from it for long. (opens korrents.com)
“But with AI, it’s different: it’s often only a couple of years between when you need a world-class computing cluster to do something and when you can run it on a high-end gaming chip on your laptop.”
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The term AGI has stopped being useful: today's best systems already meet some people's definitions of it while falling far short of others'. (opens korrents.com)